Monday, November 15, 2010

On Paper BCS Talent Rankings - Rivals.com

On Paper BCS Rankings - Scout.com

The data below is the "Team Recruiting Rankings" from 2006 - 2010 from Rivals.com  The enrolled rankings are used to weed out non-qualifiers.  Mississippi State shouldn't get extra credit for signing 33 in 2007 when a class can enroll a max of 25.

The classes are then weighted and averaged (WA) as followed to give more weight to upperclassmen over underclassmen.  Obviously the weighting isn't one size fits all.  Rivals only ranked a Top 50 in 2010, so any team outside of 50 received a ranking of 51 in 2010.

2006 - .15% - rSR
2007 - .35% - SR and rJR
2008 - .30% - JR and rSO
2009 - .15% - SO and rFR
2010 - .05% - FR

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TCU, Boise State, Utah and BYU were included in the data, but didn't make the Top 60.

A few biases to consider when looking at the data.

1) Scouting services tend to focus more heavily on scouting the Southeast compared to the Northeast and the Midwest. Recruits for the Midwest and Northeast have a much better chance of falling through the cracks than prospects from the Southeast, Texas, California.  I doubt any scouting service has ever stepped foot in places like Wisconsin or Connecticut.

2) Schools with larger fanbases have a tendency to to have committed recruits get a "bump" in the rankings.

Compare to Scount.com - On Paper BCS Rankings - Scout.com

4 comments:

  1. This is great. Thank you. Did you also subtract the players who left early?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Terrific!!

    Let's just let this determine who is the national champion without playing a single game. It means that much.

    ReplyDelete
  3. The point of the data isn't to crown anybody National Champion, but to look at the data and say:

    "Wow, Mack Brown should be doing better at Texas this year with the amount of talent that program has recruited over the last 5 years"

    or

    "Dang, Bo Pelini is doing a good job at Nebraska with the amount of talent that program has recruited over the last 5 years"

    or

    "LOL - Clemson"

    ReplyDelete
  4. How many kids woke up today without breakfast.....NEWS FLASH, combines and recruiting reports are for folks that like to compare their SAT scores and tell folks what schools they could get in....Enter one Willy Korn!

    ReplyDelete